New Polling Shows Warnock Surging, Republican Opponents’ Chances Deteriorating To Hold Special Senate Seat - Warnock for Georgia

New Polling Shows Warnock Surging, Republican Opponents’ Chances Deteriorating To Hold Special Senate Seat

Warnock, a first-time candidate, has been steadily gaining momentum with several major endorsements, strong fundraising, and increased paid communications over the last several weeks

Atlanta, GA – New polling released today from the Warnock for Georgia campaign shows Reverend Warnock poised to consolidate Georgians and defeat Senator Kelly Loeffler for Georgia’s special Senate seat. The new survey finds Warnock gaining a larger share of voters than any other candidate over the last few weeks, setting him up to be the top vote getter in November. 

After only three weeks of paid communications on TV, in the mail, and online as well as digital organizing, Warnock has grown his standing by almost double digits.

Notably from the campaign’s findings and other public surveys, GOP candidates are regularly combining for less than 50 percent of the vote, leaving a growing and winning electorate up for grabs by Warnock that like his message: fighting to expand access to affordable, quality health care; ensure protections for pre-existing conditions coverage; and protect the dignity of workers as well as voting rights.

View the full memo here

Analysis from the memo outlines that “Reverend Warnock has moved far ahead of the other Democratic candidates as he continues to build support across Georgia.1 In an environment where Georgians are open to voting for Democrats statewide, Warnock’s movement at the expense of the other Democratic candidates improves his chances to avoid a runoff and to be seated as the next U.S. Senator from Georgia as early as this November. 

Below are more key findings from the poll:

  • The dynamics of the race have changed significantly since early July. In particular, Warnock’s surge stands out as he now has more of the vote than the other two Democratic candidates combined. 
  • Warnock’s compelling story has pulled him into a competitive standing with a quarter of the vote, by growing his support among Democrats and Independents. He stands to continue moving upward.
  • With only 38 percent approval of the job she’s done in Washington, Loeffler is a vulnerable incumbent. 
  • Collins is losing ground to Loeffler (19 percent to 29 percent), as they continue fighting for a shrinking hard-right slice of the electorate.

Reverend Warnock launched his campaign for the U.S. Senate in January 2020, and independent analysts at Cook Political immediately moved the race to one of the most competitive in the nation. Warnock outraised every candidate – Democrat and Republican – for the special election in the first two fundraising quarters this year. He’s also earned support from leaders across the state including Stacey Abrams, the late John Lewis, Congresswoman Lucy McBath, Ambassador Andrew Young, Jon Ossoff, Teresa Tomlinson, Sarah Riggs Amico, Jason Carter, the Georgia AFL-CIO and countless local officials. In addition to robust support from Georgians, he is backed by Planned Parenthood, End Citizens United, Democracy for America, the Congressional Black Caucus PAC as well as Congresswoman Ayanna Pressley, House Majority Whip Jim Clyburn, Vice Presidential nominee Kamala Harris and over 30 United States Senators, including Elizabeth Warren, Kirsten Gillibrand, Sherrod Brown and Cory Booker.

About Reverend Warnock

Reverend Raphael Warnock grew up in Kayton Homes public housing in Savannah. Fourteen years ago, he was chosen to serve as Senior Pastor at Ebenezer Baptist Church in Atlanta, the former pulpit of Reverend Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. He is only the fifth Senior Pastor in the history of the church and the youngest pastor ever selected to serve in that position. Reverend Warnock believes his service does not stop at the church door, and has been an advocate to expand health care coverage and to ensure hardworking Georgians can make a living wage. As Senator, Reverend Warnock will bring to Washington the concerns of struggling Georgia families who wonder why no one is looking out for them, and focus on fighting for quality, affordable health care, for the dignity of working people who are paid too little as our government works more for Wall Street, and to make sure every voice is heard.


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